NFL Dynasty Report - Week 14 Recap

Playoff Hunt

The hunt for the playoffs as it stands. All-play is the record if all teams were to play each other every week. xWins is the number of wins you would have expected so far based on the all-play record. The playoff and bye % is calculated by randomly assigning each team a weekly score (from any team) since the league began in 2019. 100 different seasons have been simulated using the wins to date and the remaining fixtures for each team. Strength of roster isn’t taken into account in these calculations.

Position Manager Wins Points All-Play xWins Playoff % Bye %
1 TenAndJerry 10 1726.56 100-54 9.1 100 100
2 0llie 10 1646.58 96-58 8.7 100 100
3 mikepearson 9 1815.30 115-39 10.5 100 0
4 hyperpringle 8 1735.56 88-66 8.0 100 0
5 jhh82 8 1436.08 62-92 5.6 100 0
6 DanCoulton 7 1586.18 76-78 6.9 100 0
7 benturvill61 7 1503.04 80-74 7.3 0 0
8 Pindeco 6 1740.88 108-46 9.8 0 0
9 Tomcoulton10 6 1404.66 53-101 4.8 0 0
10 calumedwards 6 1238.86 45-109 4.1 0 0
11 msouthwell 5 1411.22 55-99 5.0 0 0
12 JoeWright 2 1339.90 46-108 4.2 0 0

Wins over expectation (WOE) looks at the relationship between actual wins and all-play wins. This shows how lucky or unlucky a team has been with the schedule.

Teams above the black line have been more fortunate with their schedule and teams below have been unlucky with the opponents they have faced.

jhh82 has been the luckiest so far, with 2.4 more wins than expected.

Pindeco can feel hard done by, with 3.8 fewer wins than expected.


Story of the Season

The following chart shows the performance of each team as the season has progressed. This is calculated as the xWins for each week minus the average wins each week (0.5). This strips out any influence of matchup and purely looks at your points position in a given week.

For example, an increasing line in the first half of the season followed by a decreasing line over the second half would signify good performance to start the year, but a poor run to end the season.


League Position Tracker

The next table tracks the league position by week for each team in the league. To isolate a single team’s record, double click on the legend on the right.


Potential Points

The following table shows the potential points that could have been scored if the perfect squad had been played. The wins column shows how many wins each manager would have if every team played their perfect selection each week.

Rank Manager Wins Points
1 0llie 12 1937.86
2 mikepearson 10 2135.32
3 hyperpringle 10 2068.42
4 DanCoulton 8 1932.64
5 benturvill61 8 1871.54
6 Pindeco 7 1983.32
7 TenAndJerry 7 1982.60
8 msouthwell 6 1641.00
9 jhh82 5 1598.76
10 JoeWright 4 1647.32
11 calumedwards 4 1511.38
12 Tomcoulton10 3 1533.38

The matchups for week 14 are shown below, along with the potential points for each matchup.

Week 14 Potential Points Matchups
mikepearson 189.72 72.94 msouthwell
calumedwards 74.02 117.42 Pindeco
jhh82 120.40 142.70 hyperpringle
DanCoulton 158.18 130.38 benturvill61
0llie 154.42 139.04 JoeWright
TenAndJerry 144.30 122.24 Tomcoulton10


Projected Draft Picks

The 4 rounds of the 2022 rookie draft are shown below, using the potential points order as at today.

Round 1

Pick Owner Original Owner
1 Tomcoulton10
2 calumedwards
3 JoeWright
4 msouthwell
5 0llie Pindeco
6 Tomcoulton10 benturvill61
7 Tomcoulton10 jhh82
8 TenAndJerry
9 DanCoulton
10 hyperpringle
11 0llie mikepearson
12 0llie


Round 2

Pick Owner Original Owner
1 Tomcoulton10
2 mikepearson calumedwards
3 JoeWright
4 msouthwell
5 Pindeco
6 benturvill61
7 jhh82
8 calumedwards TenAndJerry
9 DanCoulton
10 hyperpringle
11 mikepearson
12 0llie


Round 3

Pick Owner Original Owner
1 Tomcoulton10
2 calumedwards
3 JoeWright
4 msouthwell
5 Pindeco
6 benturvill61
7 mikepearson jhh82
8 TenAndJerry
9 DanCoulton
10 hyperpringle
11 mikepearson
12 0llie


Round 4

Pick Owner Original Owner
1 Tomcoulton10
2 calumedwards
3 JoeWright
4 msouthwell
5 Pindeco
6 benturvill61
7 jhh82
8 TenAndJerry
9 DanCoulton
10 hyperpringle
11 mikepearson
12 0llie


2021 Trade Count